Scenarios
Hypothetical

Model used: Basic

Second US Civil War & Secession

Rising political polarization triggers a Second US Civil War, resulting in the secession of California, Oregon, Illinois, and part of Washington to form the Democratic Union of States (DUS). Minnesota is annexed by Canada, while the remaining part of Washington becomes the conservative state of Liberty, controlled by Trump. This scenario envisions a complete fracturing of the United States along ideological lines.

13 Pro-DUSvs114 Pro-US|

The US has had several secession movements, with Texas notably having the legal right to divide into five separate states under its 1845 annexation treaty, though it has never exercised this option.

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