Scenarios
Hypothetical

Model used: Basic

Russian Annexation of Belarus

Russia pursues the full political annexation of Belarus, motivated by strategic interests in Eastern Europe and a desire to consolidate its sphere of influence. The scenario envisions the complete integration of Belarus into the Russian Federation.

11 Pro-Annexationvs111 Anti-Annexation|

While technically sovereign, Belarus and Russia operate under a 'Union State' that dictates such deep military integration that the entire Belarusian air defense system is functionally integrated into Russia's Western Military District structure.

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Hypothetical: Russian Annexation of Belarus | Mapdis