Scenarios
Hypothetical

Model used: Basic

Russia Reconstitutes the Soviet Union

Russia seeks to re-establish the Soviet Union, driven by a desire to restore its geopolitical influence and historical borders. The scenario describes a political reunification, fueled by resurgent communist support and widespread unrest in former Soviet republics, leading to potential annexation or integration of these territories.

15 Pro-USSR Revivalvs97 Anti-USSR Revival|

The March 1991 referendum showed that nearly 78% of voters across nine of the fifteen Soviet republics actually supported preserving a 'renewed federation,' a result that was ultimately ignored by the leaders who signed the Belovezha Accords dissolving the USSR later that year.

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