Scenarios
Hypothetical

Model used: Basic

Hezbollah's Offensive Nuclear Doctrine

Following a coup in Lebanon, a new Hezbollah government declares its nuclear arsenal is for offensive use only, motivated by a desire to deter regional adversaries and project power. The scenario involves a shift in nuclear doctrine from defensive deterrence to a more aggressive posture.

3 Pro-Hezbollahvs100 Anti-Hezbollah|

Hezbollah, despite being a non-state actor, is estimated to possess a larger and more sophisticated missile arsenal than many sovereign nations, some of which are precision-guided.

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