Scenarios
Hypothetical

Model used: Basic

Pan-Arab Nuclear State

A unified Arab nation emerges with nuclear weapons, driven by the desire to deter potential Israeli aggression and project power on the global stage. This scenario envisions the complete political and military integration of multiple Arab states into a single entity possessing a nuclear arsenal and a military rivaling that of China.

23 Pro-Pan-Arab Unityvs43 Anti-Pan-Arab Unity|

Iraq secretly pursued a nuclear weapons program in the 1980s, which was dismantled after the 1991 Gulf War, demonstrating a historical ambition for nuclear capabilities in the Arab world.

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